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Apr 21

French Presidential Election Update

A busy end to the week, all eyes on France's general election

The week ends on a busier note with key economic figures seen out of the UK, eurozone and US. This week has been one to remember for the pound after it broke out of multi-month trading ranges against a number of its major peers. Sterling isn't out of the water yet but many are now calling for a new chapter in the currency's post-Brexit life.

This morning sees UK retail sales data crossing the wires at 0930. While economic numbers have generally taken a backseat to Brexit related developments, these data points are still important as they're what the Bank of England will use when devising monetary policy.

Retail sales are a key indicator of the health of the consumer within a nation. As a result, this morning's release could have a notable impact on the pound which has already gained a huge amount of ground these last few days. Elsewhere, eurozone manufacturing and services PMIs are scheduled for release this morning as well as similar releases from the United States in addition to existing home sales data this afternoon. 

Over the weekend, France will host its 1st round general election vote. For all clients exposed to the euro, whether it's buying or selling, please be aware - prices could see significant swings as markets reopen on Sunday evening depending on which candidates make it through.

The candidates which markets would be most fearful of and who would cause the most euro volatility with negative implications are Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Melenchon.

All the best to our French clients, agents, partners and friends for this weekend.

FC Exchange

Eyes Turn to the French Election

The euro had a fairly positive day yesterday gaining against many of the majors after a new opinion poll in France suggested Emmanuel Macron was ahead in popularity. The single currency spiked to a three-week high against the USD and recovered some of its recent losses against the pound and was trading up by around 0.3% at the close of trading. The first round of voting in France will get underway on Sunday and the poll by Harris Interactive placed Macron with 25%, ahead of Marine Le Pen with 22%. If Le Pen does not get off to a good start and drifts early on in the voting process, the euro could continue to strengthen against all of the majors early next week.

This morning we will see a host of manufacturing and services purchasing managers’ indexes (PMI) released across the euro region at 9.00am to cap the week off, but all eyes will be on the French first round of voting this weekend which will shape next week’s movements for the currency.

Guidance on Sending Money Internationally

Frequently Asked Question: 

Hi Cle France, we are already registered with a currency exchange firm and we do seem to get a few other FX companies phoning us saying they are the best? they cannot all be the best surely? as we have viewed with many agents and visited many websites do you have any advice or guidance on which one we should use as our date for paying the 10% deposit looms, exciting times!

Regards, Chris.

'Cle France' Answer: 

Of course you must use whoever you see fit, but I explain quickly why we recommend Ben Amrany of FC Exchange.

He handles the transfers for virtually all of our clients, and the reason for that is so that we keep everything in house: Ben, myself, the Notaires and the Agents in France all work together, so we know at any point in time where the money is, which can relief the stress for our clients.

For instance if a Notaire says the money hasn't arrived, I can pick the phone up to Ben, get the tracking details and speak to the Notaire directly to tell him to look again, and how to identify the transfer. But where we have another currency company involved I can't work for the client in the same way, and we have to depend on the client to resolve the problem, which can be very stressful, especially when the currency trader tells the client "the money has been sent", and the Notaire says "he hasn't received it"!

Sadly this has happened a fair bit when other currency companies have done the transfer. 

So the benefit of using Ben Amrany and FC Exchange is that... Yes, he will beat other companies' rates as he has a Best Rate Guarantee, but also that he pays careful attention to our clients so things quite literally never go wrong, and funds never go astray, and I can't say that about other companies I have encountered.

You don't even have to by buying a house with Cle France to use Ben for your currency exchange, indeed some clients who have viewed with us may actually buy a property with another agent, sadly we can't win them all, that does not stop them still using Ben and FC Exchange to get the best deal on for their money.

So hopefully I have given you a bit more detail, and feel free to give Ben the chance to at least give you a no obligation quote, but of course I stress again, you can of course use whomsoever you wish.

Thanks, Sharon Evans - Director of Cle France Ltd.

Current rates:

Friday 21st April 2017 at 10:55

£1.00 GBP = 1.1956 EURO

£1.00 GBP = 1.2798 USD

£1.00 GBP = 1.6987 AUD

£1.00 GBP = 1.8258 NZD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7232 CAD

£1.00 GBP = 16.8583 ZAR

Do you want more information ?

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

FC Exchange

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk

Add CommentViews: 337
Apr 20

French Presidential Election

FC Exchange

All Eyes Turn to French Presidential Election

Yesterday the eurozone’s inflation readings came and went without event as they hit forecasts of 1.5% and 0.7% for final CPI y/y and final core CPI y/y, respectively. This makes it unlikely that the European Central Bank (ECB) will increase interest rates any time soon.

There is no high-tier data out for eurozone today; however, all eyes will be on the French presidential election. This is now a very tightly contested race with only 5% separating the top 4 candidates. The polls are as follows: 

Macron – 23.8 %

Le Pen – 22.8 %

Fillon – 19.3 %

Melenchon – 18.8 %

Regardless of who wins, there is significant anti-EU sentiment in France. Data compiled by Bloomberg suggests 22% would like to leave the EU and a further 33% would like to stay in but reduce the EU’s powers.

With the election on Sunday, there is bound to be some unexpected news and therefore volatility in the EUR ahead. 

Guidance on Sending Money Internationally

Frequently Asked Question: 

Hi Cle France, we are already registered with a currency exchange firm and we do seem to get a few other FX companies phoning us saying they are the best? they cannot all be the best surely? as we have viewed with many agents and visited many websites do you have any advice or guidance on which one we should use as our date for paying the 10% deposit looms, exciting times!

Regards, Chris.

'Cle France' Answer: 

Of course you must use whoever you see fit, but I explain quickly why we recommend Ben Amrany of FC Exchange.

He handles the transfers for virtually all of our clients, and the reason for that is so that we keep everything in house: Ben, myself, the Notaires and the Agents in France all work together, so we know at any point in time where the money is, which can relief the stress for our clients.

For instance if a Notaire says the money hasn't arrived, I can pick the phone up to Ben, get the tracking details and speak to the Notaire directly to tell him to look again, and how to identify the transfer. But where we have another currency company involved I can't work for the client in the same way, and we have to depend on the client to resolve the problem, which can be very stressful, especially when the currency trader tells the client "the money has been sent", and the Notaire says "he hasn't received it"!

Sadly this has happened a fair bit when other currency companies have done the transfer. 

So the benefit of using Ben Amrany and FC Exchange is that... Yes, he will beat other companies' rates as he has a Best Rate Guarantee, but also that he pays careful attention to our clients so things quite literally never go wrong, and funds never go astray, and I can't say that about other companies I have encountered.

You don't even have to by buying a house with Cle France to use Ben for your currency exchange, indeed some clients who have viewed with us may actually buy a property with another agent, sadly we can't win them all, that does not stop them still using Ben and FC Exchange to get the best deal on for their money.

So hopefully I have given you a bit more detail, and feel free to give Ben the chance to at least give you a no obligation quote, but of course I stress again, you can of course use whomsoever you wish.

Thanks, Sharon Evans - Director of Cle France Ltd.

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

FC Exchange

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk

Add CommentViews: 369
Apr 11

Join the Mailing List Today

Hi Alex, thanks for the E-Mail

Although I am not currently actively looking for a property, your regular update e-mail newsletters are great at keeping me interested and updated on my ultimate goal.

Please continue to send the updates...

Thanks, Paul.

You may not be 'ready to buy' but there is no need to wait until the last minute either, JOIN THE MAILING LIST to get updates on the best properties as they hit the market as well as price reductions and interesting facts and news.

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Add CommentViews: 462
Mar 29

Thousands of English Language Jobs in France

Good news: France has just created more jobs than at any time since 2007.

Job creation by French companies hit its highest level last year since the global financial crisis, data showed Thursday, underlining the brightening prospects for the eurozone's second-biggest economy six weeks from elections

Figures from statistics office Insee suggest the next French president, set to take office after a two-stage election in April and May, will inherit an economy showing modest signs of recovery.

A total of 187,200 jobs were created in the non-farm private sector in 2016, the highest annual figure since 2007 before the global financial crisis slammed the world economy.

The most dynamic quarter of the year was the September-December period when 64,400 jobs were created.

3,346 English-language jobs in France

At the time of posting this blog we found 3,346 English-language jobs in France within seconds!

Cle France Blogs

Outlook for France is upwards

Philippe Waechter, chief economist at Natixis, a French investment bank, said the rise was "in line with improving sentiment among business leaders who are anticipating an increase in activity."

The French central bank raised its growth forecasts for this year on Thursday, saying it now expected the economy to expand by 1.3 percent from 1.1 percent in 2016.

This remains below the Socialist government's forecast of 1.5 percent, but is in line with many private forecasters and the OECD who have also been adjusting their outlook for France upwards.

Economy top priority

The uptick in job creation comes too late for Socialist President Francois Hollande who decided in December not to stand for re-election after having failed to lower the unemployment rate of around 10 percent over his five-year term.

He staked his future on tax incentives for new positions and pro-market economic reforms, such as changes to France's rigid labour code, which he hoped would generate fresh employment.

"It's surprising that with growth so low we have managed to create so many jobs," economist Mathieu Plane from the OFCE economic think tank at Sciences Po university in Paris observed.

French growth still lags the eurozone's as a whole, which is forecast by the European Central Bank to expand by 1.8 percent in 2017. Unemployment remains double the rate of that of Germany or Britain.

Polls show that jobs are the main concern for French voters, far more than immigration or security despite a string of attacks on France since 2015.

Independent centrist Emmanuel Macron, a 39-year-old former economy minister responsible for one of Hollande's main pro-market reforms, is currently the favourite to be the next president.

He faces competition from far-right leader Marine Le Pen, who is promising protectionism and to withdraw France from the European Union - a message popular with workers affected by factory closures.

Analysts urge caution about making firm forecasts, however, after an unpredictable campaign which has seen former rightwing front-runner Francois Fillon ensnared in a fake job scandal involving his wife.

Jerome Fourquet, head of research at polling group Ifop, says the economy overtook security as voters' main concern at the end of last year.

"It's the economy and social questions which are again the priority for French people," he told AFP, before adding a warning: another attack would make security the top concern "in an instant".

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Blog submitted by: Alex at The French Property Network - Cle France.

This blog is taken from a news article on The Local - France's news in English.

Add CommentViews: 392
Mar 14

Article 50 and How to Get Ready For it

Over the last two weeks, we have seen the Pound fall by around 3.5% against most major currencies, this has been due to both weak economic data, and a loss of confidence from investors as the date approaches for Theresa May to trigger Article 50.

As we get closer and closer to the event of Article 50 being triggered, the Pound has continued to lose value, and we are seeing sell-offs again as investors do not feel comfortable leaving their positions in Sterling.

Expected Article 50 announcement.

As far as this week is concerned, the main event really is Article 50, Westminster rumours were predicting the triggering of Article 50 as early as today but it looks like the PM Teresa May has delayed it until the end of March.

Many of you are probably aware that the market sentiment is that the Pound will fall in value once it has been triggered as it will signify the beginning of an uncertain period of negotiations between the EU & UK.

Though this is not a guarantee, we do feel it is important to make sure that you have hedged yourself accordingly using tools such as stop losses, limit orders and forward contracts. 

FC Exchange

Wednesday's Fed interest rate decision

The second most important event is also on Wednesday, and this will be the Fed interest rate decision. For those of you who keep an eye on the GBP/USD exchange rate, you'll know that we have fallen from 1.25 down to 1.21 in the short space of a week due to recent comments made by Fed officials, signalling that there is a big chance of an interest rate hike in March.

The expectation is that they will do a hike of 0.25% to bring their interest rate up t0 1%. We are not expecting a massive market reaction to this as it is pretty much priced in, but I will be watching to see if they signal any further hikes for this year, as this will determine the strength of the U.S Dollar moving forward. 

If you have a currency purchase coming up and are concerned about the above events, please don't hesitate to contact me for further analysis.

Just to clarify, 100,000 Euros is costing £3,500 more than it did 2 weeks ago, property in France is still very much affordable when compared with the UK, USA and many other countries around the world but getting your timing right when exchanging your money is worth thinking about and planning with us.

For more information on the currency service we can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

Guidance on Sending Money Internationally

Frequently Asked Question: 

Hi Cle France, we are already registered with a currency exchange firm and we do seem to get a few other FX companies phoning us saying they are the best? they cannot all be the best surely? as we have viewed with many agents and visited many websites do you have any advice or guidance on which one we should use as our date for paying the 10% deposit looms, exciting times!

Regards, Chris.

'Cle France' Answer: 

Of course you must use whoever you see fit, but I explain quickly why we recommend Ben Amrany of FC Exchange.

He handles the transfers for virtually all of our clients, and the reason for that is so that we keep everything in house: Ben, myself, the Notaires and the Agents in France all work together, so we know at any point in time where the money is, which can relief the stress for our clients.

For instance if a Notaire says the money hasn't arrived, I can pick the phone up to Ben, get the tracking details and speak to the Notaire directly to tell him to look again, and how to identify the transfer. But where we have another currency company involved I can't work for the client in the same way, and we have to depend on the client to resolve the problem, which can be very stressful, especially when the currency trader tells the client "the money has been sent", and the Notaire says "he hasn't received it"!

Sadly this has happened a fair bit when other currency companies have done the transfer. 

So the benefit of using Ben Amrany and FC Exchange is that... Yes, he will beat other companies' rates as he has a Best Rate Guarantee, but also that he pays careful attention to our clients so things quite literally never go wrong, and funds never go astray, and I can't say that about other companies I have encountered.

You don't even have to by buying a house with Cle France to use Ben for your currency exchange, indeed some clients who have viewed with us may actually buy a property with another agent, sadly we can't win them all, that does not stop them still using Ben and FC Exchange to get the best deal on for their money.

So hopefully I have given you a bit more detail, and feel free to give Ben the chance to at least give you a no obligation quote, but of course I stress again, you can of course use whomsoever you wish.

Thanks, Sharon Evans - Director of Cle France Ltd.

Current rates:

Tuesday 14th March 2017 at 08:20

£1.00 GBP = 1.1386 EURO

£1.00 GBP = 1.2113 USD

£1.00 GBP = 1.6064 AUD

£1.00 GBP = 1.7565 NZD

£1.00 GBP = 1.6324 CAD

£1.00 GBP = 16.0068 ZAR

Do you want more information ?

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.

FC Exchange

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk

Add CommentViews: 306

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