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Clé France

The French Property Network

Jan 20

Why is the pound falling so sharply?

The value of the pound has been sliding on international currency markets, declining nearly 4% since the start of 2016.

It has been losing ground against the euro for the past eight weeks, its longest downward streak since the single currency was introduced in 1999.

Wednesday 20th Jan at 10:00am - £1.00 GBP = 1.2975 Euros

Last week, it hit its lowest level in euro terms for a year. Against the dollar, it has fared even worse, plumbing depths not seen since mid-2010.

Isn't this all rather sudden?

Indeed. As recently as November, the pound was as high as €1.43, but it's been downhill all the way since then. Now it's flirting with the €1.30 mark.

BBC News

NOTE: Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link is always on hand to discuss your own currency circumstances.

Over the same time period, against the US dollar, it's gone from being worth as much as $1.53 to about $1.43.

That makes it one of the worst performing major currencies, at a time when the UK economy has been considered to be stronger than many of its peers.

After all, it has grown in every quarter since the start of 2013, whereas some eurozone countries are still seeing contractions.

So what happened?

Well, the US Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates in December has highlighted the differences between the US and UK economies.

Last year, there had been an expectation that when the Fed rate rise eventually came, the Bank of England would quickly follow suit.

But now that expectation has faded. The predicted timing of the next UK interest rate rise has shifted - first to late 2016, then to early 2017.

The current record low interest rate of 0.5% makes holding sterling less attractive and encourages traders to sell the currency.

Is that all there is to it?

No, there are other factors at work as well, explaining the Bank of England's reluctance to raise interest rates.

Weak economic data is casting doubt on the future performance of the UK economy, with inflation persistently well below the Bank of England's 2% target and earnings growth slowing down from a six-year high.

Earlier this month, figures for November showed that UK industrial output had suffered its sharpest decline since 2013.

Looking further ahead, investors are worried about the outcome of a referendum on the UK's continued membership of the EU.

As Andy Scott of foreign exchange services firm HiFX put it: "Concerns over the UK economy and the risk of a Brexit look likely to continue to haunt sterling."

Traders are also generally more risk-averse in the light of the global turmoil caused by Chinese market problems and falling oil prices, which makes them reluctant to buck sterling's downward trend.

What are the consequences?

If the pound's weakness continues, tourists will find that trips to Europe and the US are more expensive, with sterling buying fewer euros and dollars than last year.

Imported goods will also become more expensive when priced in pounds, which would fuel domestic inflation.

UK exporters should, in theory, derive a boost from a weak pound, since their goods become cheaper in euro or dollar terms.

However, the UK doesn't produce as many tangible exports as it used to: the country's service sector has recovered to the levels seen before the financial crisis, but manufacturing has not.

How long is this likely to last?

Ask the Chancellor, George Osborne.

He recently warned that the UK was facing a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy.

He added that this year was likely to be one of the toughest since the financial crisis, and that far from "mission accomplished" on the economy, "2016 is the year of mission critical".

In this context, the pound's latest woes seem a fair reflection of uncertainty ahead.

In the words of Esther Reichelt of Commerzbank, "the headwinds to the British economy have definitely increased."

Do you want more information ?

So if you need to buy or sell sterling and would like to be kept up to date with all the latest data releases and exchange rate movements then feel free to contact myself Ben Amrany. If you are buying or selling a house in France we will make sure your monies are in the right place at the right time, we work hand in hand with you and Cle France.

For more information on the currency service I can provide please feel free to contact myself...

Ben Amrany from FC Exchange follow this link or phone and ask for myself and quote "Cle France" on 020 7989 0000.

You may contact me directly using this form (click here) with your requirement and I will explain the options that are available to you in getting the best exchange rate.  

Originally published: Robert Plummer | Business reporter, BBC News | 19th January 2016 | Business Section

For everything you need to know about French property visit www.clefrance.co.uk

Add CommentViews: 370
Jan 19

Thank you for the prompt reply

Thank you for the prompt reply.

Regards, Kev.

I know this is not much of a 'testimonial' to publish on our "Client's Comments Blog pages" but think again!

We get this type of email comment several times everyday and in an industry where getting answers to simple questions is not as easy as you would think, we aim to make sure our clients get quick and accurate answers to their questions every time.

Cle France will guide YOU through the French Property Buying Process!

And as several of our clients say "Follow your heart and make the move"!

Thank You Cle France

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Jan 18

Service that is refreshing in this world

Hi Sharon,

I must say you are so helpful so refreshing in this world where everyone is so busy and money orientated, My congratulations to you!

Take care, Jeremy.

Jeremy is looking for a French Property to buy all the way from Australia so the Cle France website is a great resource for him to narrow down the search before making selections and setting up a viewing trip with us soon.

Cle France will guide YOU through the French Property Buying Process!

And as several of our clients say "Follow your heart and make the move"!

Thank You Cle France

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Jan 18

I would certainly recommend Cle France

Hello Sharon.

My search for a house in France has been a bit of an adventure and after viewing so many houses in so many different areas it has made me realise what I originally dreamed of is not practical. Especially living on my own.

I have had an offer accepted on a nice little 2 bed cottage in Lower Normandy.

I thank you very much for all your help and would certainly recommend, in particular, "Cle France" should anyone ask me about buying a house in France.

Sean.

We will guide YOU through the French Property Buying Process!

And as several of our clients say "Follow your heart and make the move"!

Thank You Cle France

 

Add CommentViews: 278
Jan 15

Cle France helped us find our dream home in France

We were really delighted with the help we received from the Cle France network.

Since our purchase was completed, our Cle France agent has gone on to become a good friend of ours and continues to give us helpful advice about the local area and our property.

And above all, the property Cle France helped us find really is our dream home in France.

Mr Bevan.

Glad to know you are settling in to your new home in the department of Tarn et Garonne in the beautiful region of Midi Pyrenees.

We will guide YOU through the French Property Buying Process!

And as several of our clients say "Follow your heart and make the move"!

Thank You Cle France

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